Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.007029 0.007902 0.008857 0.009981 0.011269 0.012705 0.014431
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.005538 0.006697 0.008073 0.009838 0.012057 0.014773 0.018379
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004788 0.006072 0.007684 0.009875 0.012807 0.016639 0.022100
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004170 0.005490 0.007218 0.009677 0.013138 0.017911 0.025125
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003831 0.005211 0.007088 0.009872 0.013973 0.019914 0.029397
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003494 0.004887 0.006846 0.009857 0.014473 0.021457 0.033167
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003101 0.004440 0.006374 0.009438 0.014296 0.021926 0.035272
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002865 0.004195 0.006168 0.009387 0.014665 0.023267 0.038973
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002778 0.004164 0.006275 0.009829 0.015864 0.026093 0.045641
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002528 0.003856 0.005923 0.009486 0.015704 0.026573 0.048112
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002329 0.003613 0.005653 0.009248 0.015692 0.027297 0.051127
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002202 0.003475 0.005539 0.009263 0.016122 0.028867 0.056031
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002141 0.003447 0.005614 0.009631 0.017268 0.031987 0.064777
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001996 0.003266 0.005415 0.009489 0.017443 0.033252 0.069824
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001895 0.003151 0.005319 0.009525 0.017961 0.035269 0.076905
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001770 0.002984 0.005116 0.009335 0.017999 0.036274 0.081786
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001710 0.002928 0.005109 0.009522 0.018831 0.039104 0.091646
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001627 0.002825 0.005007 0.009507 0.019233 0.041023 0.099581
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001501 0.002635 0.004726 0.009105 0.018745 0.040830 0.101888
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001430 0.002541 0.004620 0.009056 0.019038 0.042521 0.109698
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001418 0.002559 0.004735 0.009481 0.020457 0.047158 0.126924
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001323 0.002411 0.004509 0.009152 0.020075 0.047216 0.130577
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001246 0.002293 0.004337 0.008923 0.019911 0.047818 0.136052